Showing posts with label Pennsylvania. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pennsylvania. Show all posts

If the Obama Campaign Isn't Worried, They Should Be

Sorry so late today, Biblical Conservatives! Had a personal issue that kept me on the shelf all morning, but here's today's dose of Biblical Conservatism!

Despite what a few Drive-By Media skewed polls are now showing, Obama had better start worrying.

Let's start with a few reasons:

- Florida is now clearly moving to Romney's territory. A Rasmussen Poll released on Friday shows Romney leading Obama by 5% and over 50%.

- North Carolina is now being considered by Real Clear Politics as no longer a tossup but in the Romney column.

- Virginia is becoming more and more clearly in the Romney camp. It's been two full weeks since a poll showed Obama leading in Virginia.

- The Real Clear Politics "No Tossup Map" now puts all three of these three states in the Romney camp.

- The Real Clear Politics Electoral Map shows Romney leading Obama (map does not include any tossup states).

- Except for one anomalous poll (same poll in both), Iowa and Wisconsin are within the margin of error.

- A new poll now has Romney winning Pennsylvania by 4%.


- So many voters remain undecided at this stage in the game, and historically, undecideds break hard for the challenger.

- One final note. Two weeks ago, the Real Clear Politics "No Tossup Map" looked like this:


Today it looks like this:


No amount of tiny poll fluctuations will change the fact that the President should be worried. VERY worried, because Mitt Romney is on the precipice of victory in 15 days.



Since tonight is the final Presidential debate, tomorrow's article will go up about 1 pm EST. Thanks for reading!

CBS is Now Cooking Swing State Polls

Warning: The first part of this post includes large quantities of sarcasm.

According to a CBS/New York Times poll of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. IT'S OVER. Obama has opened up a huge lead in the poll. Governor Mitt Romney should just give up now, because it's just a waste of time.

The results are these:

Florida
: Obama 53%, Romney 44% (Obama +9%)

Ohio: Obama 53%, Romney 43% (Obama +10%)

Pennsylvania: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Obama +12%)

It is OVER. Right? Come on. Obama's doing GREAT in those three critical states!

What? You want me to look past Page One? You want the poll sample? Okay, let's look at that:

Florida:  Democrat 36%, Republican 27%, Independent 33% (Democrat +9%)

Ohio: Democrat 35%, Republican 26%, Independent 35% (Democrat +9%)

Pennsylvania: Democrat 39%, Republican 29%, Independent 27% (Democrat +10%)

WHOA! That doesn't sound right, does it? I mean, surely there must be data from the last Presidential elections, right? Oh wait, there is:

Florida Turnout: 2008 - Democrat +3 - 2004 - Republican +4% - 2000 - Democrat +2%.

(Note: NEVER near a 9% Democrat advantage.)

Ohio Turnout: 2008 - Democrat +8% - 2004 Republican +5% - 2000 Democrat +1%

(Note: not a 9% turnout even in the Democrat sweep in '08.)

(Could not locate Pennsylvania data).

Now here's some cold water for you Democrats, as if basic math doesn't do it. If Obama has such a commanding lead in these states, why campaign there? Please, explain. I mean, Obama has a commanding lead in New York, and I don't see him campaigning there.

Bottom line is Obama is in real trouble. The Drive-By Media wouldn't be using these preposterous samples if he wasn't. The only plausible explanation is an attempt to suppress and repress Republican votes to make Obama's chances better. Because here in the Real World, they just aren't that good.